AD Llerenense vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
10º
1º
54
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 0
ADL
35%
25%
41%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
0 - 0
TRU
51%
23%
26%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
ADL
28%
23%
50%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
AZU
52%
24%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ADL
3 - 0
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SRQ
1 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
UCL
76%
16%
8%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
XER
0 - 2
MOR
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
MOR
31%
25%
44%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 2
PUE
76%
17%
8%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |