AD Llerenense vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CPC
3 - 0
ADL
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 1
MIA
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AZU
1 - 1
ADL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 1
EXT
23%
24%
54%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ADL
0 - 1
OLI
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
5 - 0
TRU
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARR
3 - 4
MOR
16%
22%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
4 - 3
EMD
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
JER
0 - 0
MOR
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
MON
82%
13%
5%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |