Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 0-5
AD Llerenense vs Galáctico Pegaso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
ADL
0 - 0
UCF
55%
25%
21%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
BAL
2 - 0
ADL
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ADL
1 - 0
IME
50%
26%
24%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
EST
1 - 0
ADL
61%
23%
17%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
ADL
1 - 1
MER
28%
26%
47%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 3
ALC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
SDT
3 - 0
PEG
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CPC
4 - 1
PEG
65%
22%
14%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
OVI
1 - 0
PEG
77%
17%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | -1 |