AD Llerenense vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
6 - 3
ADL
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
JER
23%
24%
53%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ADL
4 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CDD
2 - 0
ADL
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADL
0 - 1
VAL
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 1
CDD
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARR
27%
24%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 0
EXT
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
ARR
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 1
PUE
42%
25%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |