Jequié vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PBA
1 - 2
JEQ
20%
22%
59%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JEQ
1 - 3
BAH
6%
17%
77%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
0 - 0
JEQ
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JEQ
2 - 0
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
0 - 0
JEQ
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
JEC
0 - 2
SDJ
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
VIT
4 - 0
JEC
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 88 | 45 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 2
JEC
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAH
5%
17%
78%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
0 - 1
JAC
15%
22%
64%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |