Jequié vs Jacobina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jequié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEQ
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 78 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
JEQ
0 - 1
JAC
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JEQ
1 - 5
VIT
3%
8%
89%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SDJ
2 - 1
JEQ
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
JEQ
1 - 0
AEC
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
21%
23%
57%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JEC
93%
6%
1%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
JAC
4 - 0
JEC
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
AEC
1 - 2
JEC
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
JEC
0 - 2
FLU
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |