Jaguar vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
48.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+298%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
4 - 1
ADJ
97%
3%
0%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 1
ADJ
78%
15%
8%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
ADJ
2 - 1
SED
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NAU
3 - 2
ADJ
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 71 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEN
0 - 0
ADJ
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PET
0 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
SED
3 - 0
PET
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AFO
1 - 1
PET
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
MAG
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
PET
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |