Jaguar vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
29.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+378%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 2
ADJ
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ADJ
9 - 0
PER
19%
19%
63%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +4 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VCR
0 - 1
ADJ
71%
17%
13%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
VCR
3 - 1
ADJ
72%
16%
12%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 3
FEC
13%
16%
71%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 1
ISC
16%
22%
62%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SED
2 - 1
CAB
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
ACA
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FEC
2 - 2
CAB
49%
24%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 3
PER
19%
23%
59%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |