UD Fuente de Cantos Sub 19 vs Mérida AD U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
43.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
+209%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
9º
18º
11º
42
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 79 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 67 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 65 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 63 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 56 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 55 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 46 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
49% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Fuente de Cantos Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CPA
4 - 2
FDC
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FDC
1 - 0
MON
46%
21%
33%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DBN
1 - 1
FDC
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FDC
1 - 4
FLE
12%
16%
73%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
EFE
2 - 0
FDC
42%
21%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
CDB
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUM
4 - 4
MER
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MER
0 - 6
RMA
5%
11%
85%
|
10 | 45 | 35 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RCA
2 - 1
MER
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 1
MER
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +1 |