Frei Paulistano vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
AFP
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 1
AFP
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 2
REM
11%
17%
72%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 4
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
0 - 3
SER
11%
17%
73%
|
35 | 5 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |