Frei Paulistano vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 4
CON
15%
19%
66%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
2 - 1
ITA
28%
25%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
3 - 2
AFP
8%
13%
79%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REM
1 - 2
PAY
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
IND
1 - 2
REM
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEC
0 - 1
REM
8%
16%
76%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
REM
1 - 0
TAP
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 27 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
REM
4 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |