Frei Paulistano vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
AFP
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
AFP
1 - 2
CON
7%
15%
78%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AFP
2 - 0
DOR
31%
24%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
CON
8 - 0
AFP
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 1
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATG
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ATG
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AMP
2 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |