Frei Paulistano vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
POT
28%
22%
51%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 0
AFP
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 5
AFP
34%
22%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
COR
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ATG
1 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSE
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
OSE
1 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
BOQ
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |