Frei Paulistano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
AFP
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AFP
4 - 1
SOC
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
1 - 0
AFP
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
1 - 0
LAG
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
AFP
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
LAG
64%
23%
13%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 0
OSE
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
FLU
21%
24%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 1
OSE
54%
24%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |