Frei Paulistano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CON
2 - 0
AFP
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 0
ITA
16%
22%
61%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AFP
0 - 2
OSE
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFP
35%
22%
43%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LAG
2 - 2
DOR
27%
22%
51%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
12%
20%
69%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
OSE
2 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
22%
26%
52%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |