Frei Paulistano vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
AFP
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
LAG
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |