Frei Paulistano vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
3 - 2
AFP
8%
13%
79%
|
39 | 5 | 34 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 4
AFP
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
14%
19%
67%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
0 - 1
CON
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 1
ITA
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
DOR
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
AMP
2 - 4
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
ITU
20%
27%
53%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |