Frei Paulistano vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 0
AFP
18%
19%
63%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AFP
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
DOR
33%
25%
43%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
EST
1 - 1
ABS
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SDJ
0 - 3
EST
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AME
0 - 2
EST
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
AME
25%
22%
54%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 0
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |