Frei Paulistano vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
AFP
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SER
5 - 0
DOR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DOR
5 - 3
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 3
DOR
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |