Frei Paulistano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.4%
73.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.1%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 3
AFP
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
EST
84%
13%
4%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
ATG
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | +1 |