Frei Paulistano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
67.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
3 - 1
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 2
AFP
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 0
SER
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 2
AFP
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
SER
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
CON
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
SAM
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
YPI
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
YPI
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |