Frei Paulistano vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
77.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 2
LAG
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
AFP
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AFP
4 - 1
SOC
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALT
0 - 1
CON
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
CON
16%
21%
63%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CON
5 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
6%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 2
CON
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |