Frei Paulistano vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
44%
24%
33%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
4 - 1
AFP
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
POT
28%
22%
51%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 0
AMP
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 1
ATG
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
BOC
3 - 0
AFP
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |