Frei Paulistano vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 0
CEN
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 1
AFP
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
AFP
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
AFP
3 - 0
JAC
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
AFP
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
ABC
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
POT
0 - 0
ABC
12%
20%
68%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEN
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 3
ABC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |