Frei Paulistano vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
35.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
2 - 0
AFP
53%
22%
26%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
AFP
1 - 2
LAG
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
37%
26%
37%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
OSE
2 - 3
GUA
33%
25%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOC
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CON
5 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
6%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -2 |