Estrella Roja vs SD San Martín Arena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
45%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
COL
3 - 0
ERO
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ERO
2 - 1
NOJ
21%
20%
60%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RAM
1 - 0
ERO
44%
21%
35%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ERO
0 - 0
ARE
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ERO
4 - 8
BEZ
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SD San Martín Arena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
BEZ
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 2
SMA
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
RIB
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 1
SMA
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 0
SDN
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |