Estrella Roja vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAY
2 - 1
ERO
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ERO
2 - 2
GAM
16%
21%
62%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 1
ERO
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ERO
2 - 0
MFC
25%
22%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RIB
3 - 1
ERO
76%
15%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
GAM
23%
23%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RSC
1 - 0
SAN
49%
23%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 4
MFC
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RIB
4 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
TEX
36%
25%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |