Estrella Roja vs Noja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+194%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 3
ERO
82%
12%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ERO
1 - 1
BAR
9%
16%
76%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PRE
5 - 1
ERO
70%
18%
13%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ERO
0 - 5
BAR
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ERO
3 - 2
ARE
22%
21%
57%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NOJ
1 - 0
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RSC
3 - 2
NOJ
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
NOJ
1 - 1
MFC
60%
21%
20%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 1
NOJ
68%
19%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TEX
3 - 1
NOJ
45%
25%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |