Estrella Roja vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
ERO
72%
16%
11%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ERO
2 - 2
RIB
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TEX
3 - 0
ERO
74%
17%
9%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ERO
2 - 1
NAV
16%
20%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NOJ
2 - 1
ERO
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 3
GAM
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
3 - 1
CAY
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MFC
3 - 2
RSC
50%
23%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
RSC
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 0
RIB
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |