AD Esperanza vs Henares DIV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COB
1 - 1
ADE
35%
24%
42%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 0
ESC
43%
22%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VDB
0 - 3
ADE
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
3 - 1
CAL
20%
23%
57%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 2
ADE
86%
10%
5%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Henares DIV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 3
NPI
72%
16%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUS
3 - 4
HEN
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
0 - 3
DAG
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 2
COB
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESC
0 - 3
HEN
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |