AD Desamparados vs La Suerte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CSU
2 - 1
ADD
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
ADD
2 - 4
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
ADD
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ADD
2 - 4
MUN
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFA
3 - 1
ADD
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
La Suerte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 1
SFA
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CSU
2 - 1
LAS
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 0
CAR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 3
LAS
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
LAS
2 - 2
MUN
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |