Ciudad Villanueva Fresno vs CD Alconchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciudad Villanueva Fresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
PVA
3 - 1
VFR
84%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 3
OUD
27%
21%
52%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
5 - 1
VFR
68%
17%
15%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 2
APS
35%
22%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OBA
8 - 1
VFR
62%
18%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alconchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 2
VRE
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PVA
4 - 2
ALC
80%
12%
8%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 0
OUD
22%
20%
58%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
7 - 0
ALC
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
APS
38%
22%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |