Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
AgD Ceuta vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 2
AGD
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
RJA
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
AGD
33%
30%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
AGD
22%
29%
49%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 1
ECI
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
ARR
1 - 0
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
CER
30%
28%
42%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 1
AGD
22%
29%
49%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 1
UNI
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SAB
4 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |