AgD Ceuta vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
IBI
0 - 0
AGD
26%
31%
42%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
AGD
3 - 1
CDZ
77%
16%
7%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
5 - 1
AGD
36%
32%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
AGD
3 - 3
FCB
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ONT
1 - 0
AGD
37%
31%
33%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LLE
1 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LLE
2 - 0
PUE
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
IBI
2 - 2
LLE
35%
33%
33%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LLE
2 - 1
CDZ
68%
20%
11%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
1 - 1
LLE
50%
29%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |