AgD Ceuta vs Vecindario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
1 - 0
AGD
18%
26%
56%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
AGD
1 - 0
EXT
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
AGD
0 - 1
MAL
17%
26%
57%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
CPC
2 - 1
AGD
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
AGD
2 - 3
PPJ
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VEC
1 - 1
JER
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 3
VEC
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VEC
0 - 1
ALG
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
VEC
2 - 1
MER
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
EXT
0 - 2
VEC
67%
21%
12%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +2 |