AgD Ceuta vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MAZ
1 - 3
AGD
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 3
AGD
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AGD
2 - 2
GRA
47%
28%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
AGD
1 - 0
TAL
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
BET
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
POR
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MAZ
2 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 3
LOR
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |