AgD Ceuta vs Marbella FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
CDL
1 - 1
AGD
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VEC
2 - 0
AGD
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 1
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 1
AGD
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
AGD
2 - 0
CPC
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
CPC
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PPJ
0 - 1
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
COR
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |