AgD Ceuta vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
POR
3 - 3
AGD
29%
30%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AGD
3 - 0
G74
57%
25%
19%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ROQ
2 - 1
AGD
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 2
GUA
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BAL
0 - 0
AGD
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 4
CDL
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
UBC
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UBC
3 - 1
SFE
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ECI
1 - 0
UBC
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
UBC
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |