Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-5
AgD Ceuta vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
AGD
65%
22%
13%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
AGD
2 - 1
TAL
58%
25%
17%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
REC
3 - 0
AGD
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
AGD
2 - 0
PBL
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
LEV
3 - 1
AGD
63%
24%
14%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
CFC
1 - 0
REC
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
REC
2 - 1
ELC
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
REC
3 - 0
AGD
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
SAB
4 - 2
REC
57%
26%
17%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
REC
6 - 1
ATH
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |