AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
AGD
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 0
TOM
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
3 - 0
TEL
69%
21%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CDT
0 - 3
AGD
26%
31%
43%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
AGD
4 - 1
MAR
69%
21%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
RJA
1 - 2
CCF
62%
23%
16%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJA
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
AMA
3 - 0
RJA
49%
27%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
TEL
0 - 0
RJA
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
RJA
0 - 0
ALB
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |