AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
RAY
2 - 0
AGD
63%
24%
14%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
AGD
0 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
AGD
1 - 0
LEV
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
TAL
0 - 0
AGD
45%
29%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAL
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
PBL
0 - 0
RJA
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 0
FUE
83%
11%
7%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 2
RAY
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
MNC
0 - 1
RJA
30%
33%
37%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |