AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
ALB
0 - 2
AGD
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
AGD
8 - 0
BAL
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
PBL
2 - 0
AGD
49%
28%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AGD
2 - 0
CDB
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
TAL
1 - 1
AGD
54%
26%
20%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
RJA
1 - 2
ANT
74%
18%
9%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ALC
0 - 4
RJA
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
RJA
2 - 2
HOS
76%
17%
7%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
RJA
3 - 2
PUE
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |