AgD Ceuta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
CAD
0 - 2
AGD
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
UES
0 - 0
AGD
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AGD
2 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
AGD
0 - 1
CAD
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CCF
2 - 1
AGD
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
RJA
2 - 1
VAL
72%
17%
12%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
LLE
0 - 0
RJA
59%
26%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
RJA
0 - 0
IBI
79%
16%
6%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
CDZ
2 - 0
RJA
33%
34%
33%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
RJA
1 - 2
LIN
68%
22%
11%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |