AgD Ceuta vs Poli Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
ALC
5 - 0
AGD
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
XER
1 - 0
AGD
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 0
ALC
64%
23%
14%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ORI
1 - 0
AGD
50%
29%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
AGD
1 - 0
PUE
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Poli Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
POL
2 - 1
ATB
29%
29%
42%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
POL
3 - 1
MEL
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ROC
2 - 2
POL
47%
27%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CDF
1 - 2
POL
31%
29%
41%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
POL
5 - 0
ZUB
72%
19%
9%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |