AgD Ceuta vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
AGD
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 1
MOT
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
AGD
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 2
AGD
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
MER
60%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
MEL
39%
29%
32%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
MER
3 - 1
MOR
68%
19%
12%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 1
CIU
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
EXT
3 - 0
MOR
76%
17%
7%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
MOR
1 - 0
ECI
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |