AgD Ceuta vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
GRA
1 - 2
AGD
49%
29%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
AGD
1 - 1
SEV
56%
26%
18%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
AMA
0 - 0
AGD
39%
30%
30%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
AGD
3 - 0
RJA
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
MEL
2 - 0
AGD
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
MER
1 - 1
LIN
46%
28%
26%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1990 |
SAN
0 - 0
MER
54%
26%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
MER
1 - 0
CDB
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1990 |
MAS
1 - 2
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
MER
2 - 0
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |