AgD Ceuta vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
BET
6 - 1
AGD
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
AGD
1 - 0
CDF
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
EXT
0 - 1
AGD
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
AGD
1 - 1
CDB
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1991 |
SAN
1 - 2
AGD
30%
32%
38%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
MEL
3 - 0
CDT
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1991 |
LPA
1 - 0
MEL
36%
32%
32%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
MEL
43%
31%
26%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
MEL
1 - 3
BAL
65%
23%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
SEV
1 - 1
MEL
51%
28%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |