AgD Ceuta vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ECI
1 - 1
AGD
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
3 - 2
SRQ
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SEV
2 - 2
AGD
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
RJA
2 - 2
AGD
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 2
ECI
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
LUC
3 - 1
SEV
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
EST
1 - 1
LUC
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |