AgD Ceuta vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
6.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 0
AGD
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
AGD
2 - 1
XER
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
AGD
1 - 0
ALG
73%
18%
8%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
BAL
0 - 1
AGD
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
NUL
0 - 0
AGD
31%
33%
35%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
SAN
50%
28%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 1
CFC
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
GAN
39%
29%
32%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ALC
0 - 1
LOR
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
LOR
3 - 1
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |