AgD Ceuta vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
MNC
3 - 2
AGD
50%
28%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
AGD
2 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
CCF
1 - 0
AGD
49%
29%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
AGD
4 - 2
RJA
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
TAL
0 - 0
AGD
49%
29%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
LOR
2 - 1
LEV
45%
29%
25%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
BET
3 - 0
LOR
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
LOR
0 - 2
BAL
35%
30%
35%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 0
LOR
68%
21%
11%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
LOR
1 - 2
ADP
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |